FOREX-Dollar dips vs yen despite higher U.S. yields

* Dollar dips vs yen despite backup in U.S. yields

* Swiss franc near record high; commodity currencies firm

* Euro slightly higher vs dollar, holds above 200-day m.a.

(Recasts, updates prices, adds comment, changes byline)

By Steven C. Johnson

NEW YORK, Dec 29 (BestGrowthStock) – The dollar fell against the
yen on Wednesday as the return to Japan of company earnings at
the year’s end outweighed higher U.S. bond yields, which rose
following the prior session’s weak Treasury auction.

Commodity gains boosted the Australian and New Zealand
dollars, while the euro edged up against the U.S. dollar after
holding above its 200-day moving average.

Though worries that the euro-zone debt crisis could spread
to Spain and Portugal has most analysts bracing for more euro
weakness in early 2011, the currency’s stubborn refusal to
break below the 200-day moving average, now at $1.3084, has
frustrated bearish investors.

The euro was last at $1.3130 (EUR=: ), up 0.1 percent, while
the dollar was down 0.5 percent at 82.06 yen (JPY=: ), not far
from Tuesday’s 6-1/2-week low just above 81.80 yen.

Even with London’s traders returning from a two-day bank
holiday, volume was low, leaving the market susceptible to more
exaggerated price fluctuations. And analysts said year-end
positioning was driving prices as well.

That’s been the case with the yen and Swiss franc, both of
which have risen over recent days on repatriation flows.

But both currencies were attractive for other reasons as
well, traders said.

“The Swiss franc is well supported by fundamentals, risk
aversion and by people diversifying out of euros,” said Niels
Christensen, currency strategist at Nordea in Copenhagen.

The euro was at 1.2490 francs (EURCHF=EBS: ), about half a
cent from a record low, while the dollar fell 0.2 percent to
0.9506 francs (CHF=EBS: ), near Tuesday’s 0.9435 record low.


Yen gains were tied partly to Japanese exporters
repatriating earnings before the year ends, a common practice
that tends to support the yen.

That has caused a tight relationship between the dollar-yen
rate and U.S. bond yields — the dollar usually gains as bond
yields rise — to splinter over the last week.

But some analysts said there may be more to it, saying
concern about U.S. finances could hurt the dollar in 2011.

A spike higher following a weak five-year note auction on
Tuesday did help the dollar rebound from a 6-1/2-week low
against the Japanese currency.

The benchmark 10-year Treasury note gained 16 basis points
on Tuesday to yield just shy of 3.50 percent, and had eased
only slightly to 3.48 percent early on Wednesday. [US/]

BNY Mellon analyst Neil Mellor said the relationship
between the exchange rate and yields may weaken in 2011. Should
euro-zone concerns ease and bond investor fears grow about a
recent tax plan’s impact on the U.S. fiscal deficit, “it cannot
be assumed that a further backing up in bond yields will
continue to be supportive of the dollar vis-a-vis the yen.”

On nine of the past 10 days the correlation between U.S.
yields and the dollar/yen rate has splintered. Mellor said.

“Whilst drawing inferences from the price action at this
time of year is generally best avoided, the recent price action
may well be a taste of things to come in 2011,” he said.

The U.S. Treasury will sell $29 billion in seven-year notes
on Wednesday.

The Australian dollar (AUD=D4: ) rose 0.4 percent to $1.0132,
not far from a 28-year peak hit in November. Rising commodity
prices, with London Metal Exchange copper hitting a record high
[MET/L], boosted the Aussie and helped investors shrug off fear
a recent Chinese interest rate hike would slow the economy.
(Additional reporting by Jessica Mortimer in London; Editing
by Padraic Cassidy)

FOREX-Dollar dips vs yen despite higher U.S. yields