METALS-Fed gives copper bulls the upper hand

* Weaker dollar, strike threat bolsters copper

* Is China trying to turn the tide with zinc auction

* Coming up: U.S. weekly jobless claims at 1230 GMT

(Recasts, adds comment/details, pvs Singapore)

By Pratima Desai

LONDON, Nov 4 (BestGrowthStock) – Copper climbed on Thursday after
the U.S. Federal Reserve took steps to boost growth and demand
in the world’s largest economy and the market tried to factor in
higher energy costs in top consumer China.

Benchmark copper (CMCU3: ) on the London Metal Exchange was
trading at $8,489 a tonne at around 1050 GMT from $8,320 at the
close on Wednesday. The metal used in power and construction
last month hit $8,554, its highest since July 2008.

The U.S. central bank on Wednesday committed to buy $600
billion in government bonds in an attempt to lower borrowing
costs for consumers and business. [ID:nN03163902]

“Confirmation of quantitative easing is very helpful for
base metals, though it was not unexpected and further weakness
in the dollar is also helpful,” said John Meyer, analyst at
investment bank Fairfax.

The dollar fell sharply after the Fed news, making
commodities priced in the U.S. currency cheaper for holders of
other currencies. [USD/]

Traders said copper was also underpinned by the threat of
strikes in Chile, the world’s largest producer.

Latest news is that the Collahuasi mine will resume wage
talks with union leaders on Thursday. [ID:nN0398314]

“No labour agreement has been reached at the large
Collahuasi copper mine, suggesting that the workers’ union
could enter into strike as early as Friday,” Credit Suisse
Private Banking said in a note.

“Copper prices are likely to face renewed upward pressure as
the market balance continues to tighten.”


Industrial metal markets have in recent weeks started to
fret that Chinese plans to restrict energy consumption to cut
emissions would hamper the country’s production capability.

“That is the overriding issue, I haven’t heard that it is
impacting copper smelters yet, but I think it will,” Meyer said.

Analysts estimate that energy accounts for about 25 percent
of production costs of industrial metals. [ID:nTOE69H066]

The number for aluminium is about 40 percent globally, while
in China energy accounts for nearly 50 percent of total
aluminium production costs.

Three-month aluminium (CMAL3: ) was trading at $2,455 a tonne
from $2,417 on Wednesday.

The metal used in transport and packaging has over the last
year and a half been supported by financing deals that have tied
up about 70 percent of stock in LME warehouses.

That has been reinforced by the potential launch of exchange
traded products backed by physical metal.

Also on the radar are plans by China’s State Reserves Bureau
to sell 50,000 tonnes of zinc ingots. [ID:nBJI002437]

“The very public auction of zinc indicates the Chinese are
trying to hold metals prices back in the face of the weakening
dollar,” Meyer said.

Zinc (CMZN3: ) was trading at $2,484 a tonne from $2,405.

Battery material lead (CMPB3: ) was trading at $2,494 a tonne
from $2,435 on Wednesday, stainless steel metal nickel (CMNI3: )
at $23,950 from $23,550 and tin (CMSN3: ) at $26,000 from $25,850.

Technical outlook for copper

Asset returns

Metal Prices at 1053 GMT
Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2009 Ytd Pct

COMEX Cu 386.55 8.05 +2.13 334.65 15.51
LME Alum 2425.00 8.00 +0.33 2230.00 8.74
LME Cu 8390.00 70.00 +0.84 7375.00 13.76
LME Lead 2430.00 -5.00 -0.21 2432.00 -0.08
LME Nickel 23600.00 50.00 +0.21 18525.00 27.40
LME Tin 25650.00 -200.00 -0.77 16950.00 51.33
LME Zinc 2425.00 20.00 +0.83 2560.00 -5.27
SHFE Alu 16680.00 145.00 +0.88 17160.00 -2.80
SHFE Cu* 64460.00 620.00 +0.97 59900.00 7.61
SHFE Zin 20075.00 375.00 +1.90 21195.00 -5.28
** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN
SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07
(Editing by Anthony Barker)

METALS-Fed gives copper bulls the upper hand