UPDATE 2-Canada home resales cool in April, listings climb

* Home resales at 42,078 units in April

* Y/Y rise of 20.1 pct, down 2.6 pct from March

* Average price up 12.2 percent to C$344,968

* Fixed-rate mortgages favored, combo mortgages rising-RBC
(Adds details)

TORONTO, May 17 (BestGrowthStock) – Canadian home resales slowed in
April from the previous month while new listings climbed,
suggesting the country’s real estate market could soon start to
cool after a year of surging prices.

Even so, sales of existing homes still showed a big jump
from the same month last year, according data on Monday from
the Canadian Real Estate Association, with prices rising at a
double-digit pace year over year.

Residential housing has become an important driver of the
Canadian economy, even during the recession, spurred partly by
low interest rates. It also gave rise to a fiery debate on
whether the housing sector was forming a bubble, a charge that
policymakers swiftly downplay.

All told, 42,078 homes changed hands in April, up 20.1
percent from the same month last year. But sales slipped 2.6
percent from March, the third decline in four months, and have
fallen 6.8 percent from the peak reached in December.

The cooler pace of activity is in line with a long-held
view by many economists, who see the market slowing after the
spring as more homes are put up for sale and interest rates
begin to rise. [ID:nN18184642]

Some homeowners may also move sooner in order to avoid
extra costs associated with new, harmonized sales tax (HST)
regimes, set to begin July 1 in Ontario and British Columbia,
and this could add to a front-loaded year of sales and pricing

“Prices may see one last uptick in the next few months, but
are expected to simmer down notably in the second half,” said
Doug Porter, deputy chief economist at BMO Capital Markets.

“Indeed, outright price declines are certainly a very real
possibility in Ontario and B.C. amid much more moderate
activity after the HST kicks in.”

CREA said a slowing market in British Columbia was
responsible for more than half the decline for the year.
Ontario and Quebec, two of the country’s larger markets,
remained close to record levels in April.

The number of new listings rose to 99,901, surpassing the
previous April record, set in 2008, by 0.6 percent. The average
national price rose 12.2 percent to C$344,968 ($331,700).

The rising supply of homes for sale could dampen prices in
the months ahead. Sales may also cool as higher mortgage rates
and rising prices chip away at demand, and overall housing
investment falls into line with the broader economic recovery.

“The pace of moderation is expected to be measured and
orderly,” said Millan Mulraine, a senior strategist at TD


Canadian lenders have increased posted mortgage rates
several times recently, though a few have since pared their
rate increases after government bond yields fell during the
European debt crisis.

The Bank of Canada is expected to push interest rates
higher, perhaps as soon as June according to a Reuters poll. It
has also recently said it expects housing investment to “weaken
markedly” for the remainder of the year and well into 2011.

A Royal Bank of Canada survey found fixed-rate mortgages
are still the most common choice among people likely to buy a
home within the next two years. The survey found 44 percent
favored a fixed-rated loan while 16 percent prefer a
variable-rate mortgage.

But combination mortgages, which bring together fixed and
variable rates, are increasing in popularity among homeowners,
suggesting consumers are trying to get the best of both worlds
with interest rates expected to rise soon.

The survey found 40 percent of Canadians who are likely to
buy a home within the next two years plan to take out a
combination mortgage, up 8 percentage points from last year.

The survey also found that 66 percent of current homeowners
said they were concerned about the impact of interest rate


($1=$1.04 Canadian)
(Reporting by Ka Yan Ng; editing by Rob Wilson)

UPDATE 2-Canada home resales cool in April, listings climb